Solar panel payback calculator

Solar economics turn on self-consumption: energy you use yourself is worth the retail price, energy you export is worth far less.

kWp
kWh per kWp
%
per kWh
per kWh
%
years
Payback period
10.25years
= Exact Solar payback
Annual saving
731.50
Lifetime saving
17 231.18
Net benefit over the system life
9731.18
Return on investment
129.7 %
Annual generation
4750 kWh
Levelised cost of the electricity
0.0670
Exported to the grid
2850 kWh
Show the working
  1. Installed cost = 7500
  2. System size = 5
  3. Specific yield = 950
  4. Self-consumption = 40
  5. Import price = 0.28
  6. Export price = 0.07
  7. Annual degradation = 0.5
  8. System life = 25
  9. Annual generation = 5 * 950 = 4750
  10. self_used = 4750 * 40/100 = 1900
  11. Exported to the grid = 4750 - 1900 = 2850
  12. Annual saving = 1900 * 0.28 + 2850 * 0.07 = 731.5
  13. Payback period = 731.5 > 0 ? 7500 / 731.5 : 0 = 10.2529
  14. degradation_factor = 0.5 > 0 ? (1 - (1 - 0.5/100)^25) / (0.5/100) : 25 = 23.556
  15. Lifetime saving = 731.5 * 23.556 = 17 231.2
  16. Net benefit over the system life = 17 231.2 - 7500 = 9731.18
  17. Return on investment = 7500 > 0 ? 9731.18/7500*100 : 0 = 129.749
  18. Levelised cost of the electricity = 4750 * 23.556 > 0 ? 7500 / (4750 * 23.556) : 0 = 0.067 029 7

Values are shown to six significant figures here; the arithmetic itself runs on exact fractions and is only rounded where a number is printed.

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    The formula

    • annual saving = self-consumed kWh x import price + exported kWh x export price
    • degradation factor sums a geometric series over the system life

    A battery raises self-consumption from around 35% to 65 or 70%, which is usually the largest lever on the payback.

    This ignores inflation in electricity prices, which historically shortens the payback considerably.

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